Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are criss-crossing the US within the closing days of the election marketing campaign with a journey schedule that underscores their hopes of “flipping” Republican states equivalent to Georgia, Iowa and Texas, which weren’t seen as aggressive initially of the race.

In an indication of his marketing campaign’s rising confidence, Mr Biden on Tuesday made his first marketing campaign cease in Georgia, a southern state that has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Invoice Clinton in 1992. On Friday he’ll journey to Iowa, a state that President Donald Trump received by greater than 9 factors in 2016.

Analysts mentioned the Democrat’s visits to states that weren’t regarded as inside his attain originally of the election marketing campaign underscored how bullish the Biden workforce was about its probabilities of victory within the closing days of the race.

Mr Biden is forward by simply 1.7 per cent in Iowa, in line with an FT evaluation of RealClearPolitics polling information, whereas Jodi Ernst, the state’s incumbent Republican senator, is trailing Democratic challenger Theresa Greenfield within the polls. In Georgia, Mr Biden and President Donald Trump are statistically tied.

“It’s an acknowledgment from the Biden marketing campaign that they suppose they will win these states,” mentioned Kyle Kondik of the College of Virginia Middle for Politics. “Finally the candidate’s time is their Most worthy useful resource, and sending [Biden] to Georgia and Iowa is a recognition that they are aggressive.”

Andra Gillespie, a political-science professor at Emory College in Atlanta, mentioned: “From a strategic standpoint, if Joe Biden feels fairly comfy, and he’s now forcing the Trump marketing campaign to spend assets to carry [Georgia], these are assets that may’t be expended someplace else.”

Ms Harris, Mr Biden’s working mate, is on Friday anticipated to make her first marketing campaign go to to Texas, a Republican stronghold. Mr Biden is trailing by virtually 3 factors within the polls there, however some latest surveys and an explosion in early voting have made Democrats cautiously optimistic about their possibilities.

Line chart showing how Trump and Biden are doing in the US national polls

Mr Biden has a nationwide lead of 8.6 factors over Mr Trump, in line with a Monetary Occasions evaluation of Actual Clear Politics information. However his margins are smaller in a number of swing states that maintain the important thing to profitable the electoral faculty, together with Pennsylvania, the place FT evaluation exhibits Mr Biden forward by 5.6 factors.

The previous US vice-president has made extra journeys to Pennsylvania than another state for the reason that Democratic Nationwide Conference in August.

Mr Trump can be visiting some battleground states that he misplaced to Mrs Clinton in 2016 however the place his marketing campaign says he can win this time, equivalent to Nevada and New Hampshire. However his hectic journey schedule has been extra closely centered on Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin that have been essential to his victory 4 years in the past.

The president stopped in Michigan, Wisconsin and Nebraska on Tuesday, and can go to Arizona and Nevada on Wednesday. He’ll on Thursday maintain a rally in North Carolina, a state he received by 3 factors in 2016 however now seems to be tied with Mr Biden.

Mr Biden’s visits to Georgia and Iowa have been additionally meant to offer a lift to Democrats competing in US Senate races in opposition to Republican incumbents. Democrats are looking for to reclaim management of the 100-member Senate from the Republicans, and Georgia is the one state within the US the place each seats are being contested.

“Of us, I can’t inform you how essential it’s that we flip america Senate,” Mr Biden mentioned on Tuesday night at a drive-in rally in Atlanta. “There’s no state extra consequential in that battle than Georgia. You’ve gotten two aggressive seats at stake and you’ve got two nice candidates.”

Trump vs Biden: who’s main the 2020 election polls?

Use the FT’s interactive calculator to see which states matter most in profitable the presidency

Democrats’ marketing campaign efforts have additionally obtained a lift in latest days with the return of Barack Obama, the previous US president, to the marketing campaign path. Mr Obama is the second-most widespread Democrat within the US, in line with YouGov, behind Jimmy Carter, one other former president.

Mr Obama campaigned for Mr Biden on Tuesday in Florida, the second time he has visited the state in lower than every week. He repeated his assaults on Mr Trump over his dealing with of the coronavirus pandemic, saying: “If he had been centered on Covid from the start, instances wouldn’t be reaching new document highs.”

A number of US states are grappling with surges in coronavirus instances and hospitalisations as temperatures drop and Individuals spend extra time indoors. Greater than 217,000 Individuals have died from coronavirus this yr, in line with the Covid Monitoring Venture.

Swamp notes

Within the countdown to the 2020 election, keep on prime of the massive marketing campaign points with our publication on US energy and politics with columnists Rana Foroohar and Edward Luce. Sign up here


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