Proposition 22’s proponents have additionally been campaigning in different methods. Trip-share passengers have received numerous push notifications telling them to vote sure, whereas Uber drivers logging into their app have additionally seen a slideshow with messages like, “A no vote would imply far fewer jobs.”

In the meantime, labor teams have contributed a lot of the $20 million raised by the marketing campaign towards Proposition 22, a determine that’s solely a couple of tenth of what their rivals have introduced in. Nevertheless, a variety of outstanding state and nationwide Democratic politicians have opposed the measure, together with Joe Biden and his operating mate, California Sen. Kamala Harris, in addition to Rep. Barbara Lee and former presidential candidates Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.

Regardless of the sure aspect’s lopsided useful resource benefit, UC Berkeley finds little change from its final ballot in mid-September, when Proposition 22 led by a similar 39-36 spread. The one different ballot we’ve seen was a late September SurveyUSA ballot that had the measure in higher form with a 45-31 edge.

Trip-share and app-based supply firms have long classified their drivers as unbiased contractors relatively than as workers, which meant that these companies didn’t need to pay for benefits like well being care, unemployment insurance coverage, or expense reimbursement. A 2018 California Supreme Courtroom ruling and subsequent state legislation, although, made it far more troublesome for gig firms to designate employees this manner.

Uber and Lyft, which argue that they’re tech companies relatively than transportation firms, have continued to classify their drivers as contractors, which led to a lawsuit from state Lawyer Normal Xavier Becerra and several other metropolis attorneys. On Thursday, a state appeals courtroom upheld a decrease courtroom ruling saying that these ride-share firms wanted to deal with their drivers in California as workers. The ruling is on maintain for now, although, and if Proposition 22 prevails subsequent week, it could by no means go into impact.

The ride-share firms have warned that the failure of Proposition 22 would impose huge prices on them that may result in far fewer drivers in California and better costs for patrons. The measure’s opponents, in the meantime, have argued {that a} win for the sure aspect would hurt drivers, with Rep. Barbara Lee declaring, “You’ve got very clearly crossed the road if you attempt to declare the fairness mantle for a marketing campaign that has at all times been about permitting multibillion-dollar app firms to jot down their very own legislation in order that they’ll preserve exploiting the labor of drivers, eight in 10 of whom are folks of colour.”

If Proposition 22 succeeds, it could be extremely difficult to change. The measure would require seven-eighths of each chamber of the legislature to make any amendments, an unprecedented threshold that makes main alterations all however unimaginable. Native governments would additionally not have the ability to require firms to offer extra advantages or protections for his or her gig employees. One other poll measure might be handed by voters to switch Proposition 22, however as this yr’s marketing campaign exhibits, gig firms would spend no matter it takes to cease something they opposed.

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